Accelerating Dubai Industrial Growth through Strategy

Instead of marking a cyclical rebound, 2026 is progressively deemed a consolidation year, in which diversification-led growth becomes more deeply ingrained in the region's financial design, minimizing reliance on hydrocarbons and increasing durability to external shocks. Projections from major institutions broadly assemble on a more powerful GCC development profile in 2026 than in 2025, supported by durable domestic need, continued non-oil growth, and (to varying degrees) a firmer hydrocarbon contribution.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

3.2 percent growth in 2025, accelerating to 4.5 percent in 2026. Sees momentum improving, with GCC output growth predicted to increase from 1.7 percent in 2024 to 3.3 percent on average in 2025, reflecting a shift toward more positive total conditions.

The IMF's World Economic Outlook (October 2025) projects worldwide development alleviating to 3.1 percent in 2026, with advanced economies around 1.5 percent and emerging market and establishing economies simply above 4 percent. On that comparison, a 4.44.5 percent GCC expansion would position the area materially ahead of the world average and somewhat above (or broadly in line with) the emerging-market aggregate, enhancing the GCC's status as a reasonably high-growth pocketprovided that local risk conditions remain included and reform momentum holds.

Data from the GCC Statistical Center show that non-oil sectors currently represent more than 73 percent of total GDP, a share that has actually continued to rise as governments broaden financial investment in services, infrastructure, and innovation. According to Oxford Economics, non-energy activity across the GCC is projected to grow by around 4.1 percent in 2026, supported by strong labor markets, improving credit conditions, and increasing investment in technology and AI-related facilities.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

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Public-sector financial investment and reform remain main to sustaining this trend. Policy steps focused on bring in foreign direct investment, reducing foreign ownership rules, expanding capital markets, and supporting private-sector participation continue to underpin non-oil expansion and reduce the region's direct exposure to oil rate volatility. While hydrocarbons no longer dominate the development outlook, oil profits are anticipated to play a supportive function in 2026.

Oxford Economics expects Brent crude prices to fall below USD 60 per barrel in early 2026, restricting the near-term contribution of oil extraction to GDP. Nevertheless, oil supply is forecast to rise once again in the 2nd half of the year, with a complete relaxing of remaining production caps most likely by mid-2027.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Macroeconomic conditions throughout the GCC remain broadly helpful of development. Inflation is expected to stay low, with the IMF forecasting typical inflation of 2 percent across the region in 2026. Stable rates are assisting protect genuine home earnings and underpin customer spending, which Oxford Economics expects to grow by approximately 3.5 percent over 20262027.