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How to Optimise GCC Operations in 2026

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Company news and financial news, analysis, viewpoint and data covering the 6 Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Economic growth throughout the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to speed up in 2026, with the region projected to outperform its 2025 efficiency regardless of muted oil profits and continuous international uncertainties. According to a new Oxford Economics research study instruction, GCC GDP development is expected to increase to 4.4 per cent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, reflecting a resilient nonenergy sector, strong customer dynamics, and gradually improving oil output.

The latest projections recommend that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to gain back momentum, buoyed by enhancing domestic need and a broadly stable global backdrop. The report highlights GCC customers as a major driver of the region's economic performance heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine non reusable incomes are anticipated to fuel a surge in consumer costs across the Gulf.

Credit development is also forecast to stay raised as access to financial services widens. With GCC reserve banks expected to follow anticipated US Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the area's dollar pegs, borrowing costs are most likely to decline, giving families and businesses even more impetus to spend and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the region's durability, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook presents a blended photo.

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This could weigh on firsthalf growth, especially for economies more dependent on oil extraction. Nevertheless, Oxford Economics projects a rebound later on in 2026, with Opec+ members expected to resume raising production as inventories tighten and global demand enhances. Qatar, on the other hand, sticks out as a local outperformer, with considerable growths in gas production and exports expected to raise its overall economic performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget plan expects a 6 percent cut in capital expenditure as the kingdom aims to narrow its fiscal deficit by two percentage points. Nevertheless, the report notes that these cuts may not materialise completely if countercyclical spending procedures are activated to support development. By contrast, more diversified economies such as the UAE and Qatar are anticipated to continue advancing their development agendas.

Despite shortterm dangers tied to oil prices and worldwide demand, the GCC's 2026 economic outlook is specified by strength in fundamentals: resilient customers, robust nonenergy sectors, improving oil characteristics, and tactical fiscal preparation. With these aspects aligning, the region is getting ready for one of its most balanced durations of growth over the last few years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP growth.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are expected to remain durable in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly stable global economy, according to an analysis. In its newest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the genuine gdp of the GCC area is expected to broaden by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the projected 4 percent this year.

United States trade policy under President Donald Trump has had no notable effect on regional growth, and non-energy sectors have actually sustained their robust momentum," stated Oxford Economics. It added: "Meanwhile, oil production has actually slowly increased, supplying a boost to the area's economies. We expect GCC growth will increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center stated that financial growth in the region is set to accelerate to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by expanding non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of overall GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the region's ongoing progress toward diversity. According to Oxford Economics, GCC consumers will be standout entertainers in 2026 and are anticipated to surpass their worldwide peers. Oxford Economics stated that low inflation has helped safeguard growth in genuine non reusable earnings, which has actually also been supported by strong need and extremely low joblessness rates."We do not imagine any let-up, as governments continue to press for higher foreign direct financial investment in their push to diversify their economies far from oil and gas," the report included.

In December, the IMF even more stated that heading inflation is anticipated to stay listed below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and somewhat above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit development is anticipated to remain elevated in the GCC area during 2026, as access to financial services is anticipated to grow and financing is projected to be supported by additional cuts in interest rates."Owing to their currency pegs to the United States dollar, GCC central banks are expected to follow the US Federal Reserve by reducing monetary policy even more, which in turn will decrease debt maintenance costs and boost non reusable income and demand," stated the report.

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